Climate Risk Assessment and Forecasting

Climate risk assessment is the process of identifying, evaluating, and understanding the potential impacts of climate change on people, assets, and ecosystems. Forecasting refers to the use of scientific models and data to predict future climate-related risks such as rising temperatures, sea levels, droughts, and extreme weather.

  1. Earth Observation (EO) from satellites

  2. Global Climate Models (GCMs)

  3. Downscaling tools for regional predictions

  4. AI/ML for pattern detection

  5. GIS (Geographic Information Systems)

  6. Climate dashboards and risk maps

Climate Risk Assessment and Forecasting

Climate risk assessment is the process of identifying, analyzing, and evaluating the potential impacts of climate change on people, businesses, ecosystems, and infrastructure.

Forecasting refers to using scientific models and data to predict future climate-related events such as:

  • Sea level rise

  • Floods and droughts

  • Heatwaves

  • Wildfires

Why Is It Important

  • Climate change is increasing the frequency and severity of extreme weather. Governments, businesses, and communities need tools to:

    • Protect lives and property

    • Secure food and water resources

    • Plan sustainable infrastructure

    • Avoid economic losses

    • Improve insurance and disaster response

Components of Climate Risk Assessment

  1. Hazard Identification

    • What climate-related events are likely to occur?

  2. Exposure Analysis

    • What assets (infrastructure, communities, ecosystems) are exposed?

  3. Vulnerability Assessment

    • How sensitive are these assets to climate hazards?